图片来源:Weedezign—Getty Images
• 高盛刚刚聘用了能像人类一样写代码的人工智能软件工程师Devin,还省下了六位数年薪。公司计划未来可能部署数千个Devin,通过人工智能工具将员工生产力提升四倍以上。高盛技术负责人认为未来是“人机协同”的混合劳动力时代,但福特首席执行官吉姆·法利警告称白领工作正迅速流失。
这位新员工不会跟同事里希·苏纳克喝咖啡闲聊,也不会参加公司下班后的欢乐时光。Devin只会昼夜不停地写代码。
华尔街投行高盛最近宣布,已“聘用”初创公司Cognition开发的人工智能自主软件工程师Devin。高盛首席信息官马可·阿根蒂表示,Devin能完成端到端的编程任务,员工生产力有望比使用以往人工智能工具提升三到四倍。
“我们将开始用Devin加强团队,就像招了一位新员工,代表开发人员完成任务,” 近期阿根蒂接受美国消费者新闻与商业频道(CNBC)采访时表示。
阿根蒂补充说,高盛计划先部署数百个Devin,未来可能扩至数千个,加入近1.2万名软件工程师队伍,由此开启“人机共存”的混合劳动力时代。
“关键在于人类与人工智能并肩协作,” 阿根蒂说,“工程师要学会清晰描述问题,转化为指令,并监督人工智能工具工作。”
《财富》已联系高盛寻求置评。
人工智能取代白领及初级岗位的忧虑升温
大力推广Devin的同时,高盛仍在全球招聘软件工程师,纽约某些初级岗位起薪11.5万美元,最高可达18万美元。
不过业界领袖警告,类似初级岗位可能最先被人工智能取代。Anthropic首席执行官达里奥·阿莫迪预测,五年内人工智能可能淘汰一半初级白领岗位。福特(Ford)首席执行官吉姆·法利更悲观,称美国所有白领岗位都将被取代,不仅仅是初级岗位。
“实现美国梦的道路不止一条,但整个体系都更侧重四年制大学教育,”上个月在法利出席阿斯彭思想节(Aspen Ideas Festival)时表示,“2019年以来,科技公司初级员工招聘人数已减少50%。我们真希望孩子们都去挤这条路吗?人工智能真的会取代美国一半的白领员工。”
具体到银行业,彭博社(Bloomberg)估计未来三到五年华尔街可能减少20万个岗位。不过阿根蒂认为,掌握人工智能技术的人才能赢得未来,对面临初级岗位减少的年轻人来说尤为重要。
“人工智能变革几年内就会发生,而不是几十年,” 阿根蒂在为《财富》撰写的评论中写道,“不能熟练使用人工智能工具的员工将会被逐渐淘汰,而学会利用人工智能提升工作的人将脱颖而出。”(财富中文网)
译者:梁宇
审校:夏林
• Goldman Sachs just hired Devin, an AI-powered software engineer that’s capable of coding just as well as humans—minus six-figure salaries. The company also has plans to potentially unleash it by the thousands and expand workers’ productivity with AI tools by over four times. While the firm’s tech leader sees a future that’s a “hybrid workforce” between humans and AI, leaders like Ford CEO Jim Farley warn of a decrease in white-collar work.
The newest hire at Goldman Sachs won’t be able to have a coffee chat with coworker Rishi Sunak, or attend the firm’s after-work happy hour. Rather, it will be working all day on its coding assignments.
The Wall Street investment bank recently unveiled it had hired Devin: a new AI-powered autonomous software engineer, created by AI startup Cognition. With the tool being capable of conducting end-to-end coding tasks, Goldman hopes it will improve worker productivity by up to three or four times the rate of previous AI tools, according to Goldman’s chief information officer Marco Argenti.
“We’re going to start augmenting our workforce with Devin, which is going to be like our new employee who’s going to start doing stuff on the behalf of our developers,” Argenti recently told CNBC.
Goldman Sachs plans to launch Devin by the hundreds—maybe eventually even by the thousands, Argenti added—joining the nearly 12,000 existing software engineers at the company. He said he hopes this move will help usher in a “hybrid workforce” era in which humans and AI coexist.
“It’s really about people and AIs working side by side,” Argenti said. “Engineers are going to be expected to have the ability to really describe problems in a coherent way and turn it into prompts…and then be able to supervise the work of those agents.”
Fortune reached out to Goldman Sachs for comment.
Growing concerns over AI killing white-collar roles and entry-level gigs
Despite the push to launch Devin, Goldman is continuing to hire software engineers, with dozens of open roles around the world. The salary of some New York–based associate roles start out at around $115,000 annually—and can even extend to $180,000.
But business leaders have warned that these early career roles are the ones that AI might make obsolete the soonest. For example, Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei predicted that AI could eliminate half of all entry-level white-collar jobs within five years. Ford CEO Jim Farley went even further, and warned that all white-collar work could disappear in the U.S.—beyond those early in their careers.
“There’s more than one way to the American Dream, but our whole education system is focused on four-year [college] education,” Farley said at the Aspen Ideas Festival last month. “Hiring an entry worker at a tech company has fallen 50% since 2019. Is that really where we want all of our kids to go? Artificial intelligence is gonna replace literally half of all white-collar workers in the U.S.”
For the banking industry in particular, this AI-driven workforce transformation could lead to 200,000 fewer people on Wall Street within the next three to five years, according to Bloomberg. However, Argenti said that those who choose to embrace AI will be best equipped for a successful future, and it’s especially important for young talent facing dwindling entry-level roles.
“The AI shift is happening in years, not decades,” Argenti wrote in a commentary piece for Fortune. “Workers who lack proficiency in leveraging AI tools will fall behind, and those who have learned to harness it to elevate their work will advance,” he added.