• AI是否会造成大范围失业，已成为近年来的一个热门话题。近日， Palantir公司CEO亚历克斯・卡尔普表示，他相信AI可以给总体就业市场带来增量效益，但前提时“我们要非常努力地去实现这个目标”。他还警告道，如果全行业不向着这个目标努力，全社会或将面临很多精英都未曾料及的“深刻社会动荡”。现在已有迹象表明，AI正在取代大量初级工作岗位。
Palantir公司的CEO亚历克斯・卡尔普是当前AI革命的最大受益者之一。不过就连他也在最近接受采访时表示，如果AI行业不想方设法加以防范，AI很可能会给全社会造成巨大撕裂。
上周四，卡尔普在接受CNBC采访时，记者问他怎么看待AI对就业的影响。
卡尔普答道：“作为科技从业者，我们不能对AI有可能给普通人造成的影响漠不关心。”
现在，AI已经被广大职场人应用到了工作的方方面面，它也大大提升了人们的生产力和工作效率。但与此同时，也有迹象表明，AI的出现，使得市场上对初级岗位的招聘需求出现了一定的萎缩。而这些初级岗位往往是年轻人步入社会的第一道阶梯。
与此同时，Palantir公司一直走在企业级AI应用的前沿。它的AI平台主要用于国防和情报领域，同时它也在不断扩展商用市场。最近，它就与一家医院和医疗系统运营平台提供商TeleTracking达成了合作。
卡尔普在上周四接受采访时表示，Palantir公司开发的AI应用“可以对美国劳动力市场产生增量效果，”不过前提是“我们得非常非常努力地去做这件事。”
他强调，“可以产生”增量效果，并不意味着“一定会产生”。这需要全行业的共同努力。
卡尔普表示：“我们必须朝着这个方向努力，否则我们有可能要面临一场深刻的社会动荡，而且我认为，现在许多社会精英都忽视了这种可能性。”
作为一个AI领域的领导者，卡尔普的话无疑是值得关注的。他此前也曾呼吁科技行业着手解决一些重大问题。
比如最近，卡尔普在《大西洋月刊》上发表了一篇文章，文章改编自他与Palantir公司企业事务负责人兼法务总顾问尼古拉斯・扎米斯卡合著的新书《技术共和国》。他在文中批评硅谷只知道“把精力放在那些能解决的琐碎问题上”，而放弃了与政府合作，解决其他更迫切的全国性问题的优良传统。
最近，AI领域的其他知名人士也表示，AI很可能会对劳动力市场造成严峻冲击。比如上个月，Anthropic公司CEO达里奥·阿莫代伊就指出，AI很有可能会彻底取代50%的入门级白领工作。
在接受新闻网站Axios采访时，阿莫代伊指出，AI很有可能导致总失业率飙升10%到20%。而美国上周五最新公布的宏观失业率为4.2%。
阿莫代伊表示：“大多数人都没有意识到将要发生什么。这件事听起来非常疯狂，人们根本不相信……但是作为这项技术的创造者，我们有责任和义务告诉大家将要发生的事情。”
OpenAI公司CEO山姆·奥特曼上周也曾说过，他觉得AI现在起的作用不亚于一个实习生。他还认为，到了明年，AI就可以“帮助我们发现新知识，或者帮我们找到比较重要和复杂的商业问题的解决方案”。
同时，英伟达公司CEO黄仁勋上个月也在米尔肯研究所全球大会上表示，虽然他不认为劳动者会因为AI而失业，但是有人确实会因为“别的某个人会使用 AI”而失业。（财富中文网）
译者：朴成奎
• Amid the debate about AI’s impact on the workforce, Palantir CEO Alex Karp said the technology can have an overall additive effect, “if we work very, very hard at it.” But he cautioned that if the industry doesn’t make that happen, the result could be “deep societal upheavals” that many elites are ignoring. There are already signs that AI is shrinking entry-level opportunities.
One of the biggest beneficiaries of the AI revolution warned that the technology could also create massive fissures in society—unless the industry works hard to prevent them.
Alex Karp, CEO of data-mining software company Palantir, was asked on CNBC on Thursday about AI’s implications for employment.
“Those of us in tech cannot have a tin year to what is this going to mean for the average person,” he replied.
That comes as AI increasingly gets incorporated into the daily tasks of workers, boosting their productivity and efficiency. At the same time, there are also signs that AI is shrinking opportunities for young workers in entry-level jobs that traditionally have been stepping stones for launching careers.
Meanwhile, Palantir has been at the forefront of using AI at the enterprise level. The company is known for putting its AI-powered platforms to work in the defense and intelligence sectors, but it has also been expanding in the commercial space. Most recently, it partnered with TeleTracking, a provider of operations platforms for hospitals and health systems.
On Thursday, Karp said the kind of AI that Palantir is doing can be “net accretive to the workforce in America,” but only if “we work very, very hard at it.”
He pointed out that it just because it can happen, that doesn’t mean it will happen. The industry has to make it so.
“We have to will it to be, because otherwise we’re going to have deep societal upheavals that I think many in our elite are just really ignoring,” Karp said.
The warning is especially notable coming from a leader in the AI field. But Karp has also urged the tech sector to take on bigger problems.
In a recent Atlantic essay adapted from their book The Technological Republic, Karp and Nicholas Zamiska, Palantir’s head of corporate affairs and legal counsel to the office of the CEO, blasted Silicon Valley for focusing on “trivial yet solvable inconveniences” and abandoning a long history of working with the government to tackle more pressing national issues.
Others in the AI field have also offered dire predictions about AI and the workforce lately. Last month, Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei says AI could wipe out roughly 50% of all entry-level white-collar jobs.
In an interview with Axios, he said that displacement could cause unemployment to spike to between 10% and 20%. The latest jobs report on Friday put the rate at 4.2%.
“Most of them are unaware that this is about to happen,” Amodei said. “It sounds crazy, and people just don’t believe it… We, as the producers of this technology, have a duty and an obligation to be honest about what is coming.”
And OpenAI CEO Sam Altman said this past week that AI agents are like interns, predicting that in the next year they can “help us discover new knowledge, or can figure out solutions to business problems that are very non-trivial.”
Meanwhile, Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang said at the Milken Institute’s Global Conference last month that while workers may not lose their jobs to AI, they will lose them to “someone who uses AI.”